Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For SAKURA Internet Inc. (TSE:3778)

When close to half the companies in the IT industry in Japan have price-to-sales ratios (or “P/S”) below 1.2x, you may consider SAKURA Internet Inc. (TSE:3778) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 7x P/S ratio. Although, it’s not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it’s so lofty.

View our latest analysis for SAKURA Internet

How SAKURA Internet Has Been Performing

The recent revenue growth at SAKURA Internet would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance is strong enough to outperform the industry, which has inflated the P/S ratio. You’d really hope so, otherwise you’re paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don’t have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on SAKURA Internet’s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There’s an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like SAKURA Internet’s to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 5.8% last year. However, this wasn’t enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 1.5% overall drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 4.9% over the next year, which really puts the company’s recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it’s alarming that SAKURA Internet’s P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company’s business prospects. There’s a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From SAKURA Internet’s P/S?

We’d say the price-to-sales ratio’s power isn’t primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We’ve established that SAKURA Internet currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors’ minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we’d expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders’ investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You need to take note of risks, for example – SAKURA Internet has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn’t be ignored) we think you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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